Tuesday, May 24, 2005

Draft Plans

So I'm not gonna even approach the coach/gm position and who should be there, it's a mess. But I will tell you my thoughts about our draft.

Depending on how the balls come up on friday, we have some options. First of all, if you get a 1-3 pick, you take the absolute best player and call it a day, taking Jawad Williams or Salim Stoudamire in the second round and feeling great.

Now if you get your 4 or 5, more likely, you consider this:
(and stay with me now)
You trade Nick Van Exel's expiring contract along with a promising young talent (i.e. Kryhapa, Monia, Outlaw, etc.) to Boston for Paul Pierce and their probable #16 draft pick. There, you would select Sean May if he's still available, or perhaps a European big man to remind everyone of Sabonis and back us up at the PF position. The trade looks like this:

Outgoing
-Nick Van Exel

6-1 PG from Cincinnati
11.1 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 4.3 apg in 30.6 minutes
- Viktor Khryapa
6-9 SF from Ukrane
4.2 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 0.8 apg in 16.3 minutes
-A #4 Draft Pick

Incoming
- Paul Pierce
6-6 SF from Kansas
21.6 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 4.2 apg in 36.1 minutes
- A #16 Draft Pick

Successful Scenario
Due to Portland and Boston being over the cap, the 15% trade rule is invoked. Portland and Boston had to be no more than 115% plus $100,000 of the salary given out for the trade to be accepted, which did happen here. This trade satisfies the provisions of the Collective Bargaining Agreement.


Now do I think it's unrealistic to think that they'd give us their #16, yes, especially for so little in return except cap relief, yes. BUT, I also think that we have SOME pieces that might be desirable to them, one being Darius, another being Theo.

OR HERE IS ANOTHER TRY:

Outgoing
- Paul Pierce
6-6 SF from Kansas
21.6 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 4.2 apg in 36.1 minutes
- Raef LaFrentz
6-11 C from Kansas
11.1 ppg, 6.9 rpg, 1.2 apg in 27.4 minutes
- A #16 Draft Pick
Incoming
- Nick Van Exel
6-1 PG from Cincinnati
11.1 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 4.3 apg in 30.6 minutes
- Theo Ratliff
6-10 C from Wyoming
4.8 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 0.5 apg in 27.5 minutes

- A #4 or 5 Draft Pick

This situation gives Boston a solid center, who although having a poor season last year, still has huge upside and can change an entire team with his defense, and look at it this year, they get rid of Raef. AND, they get Van Exel's expiring contract, and 40 mil in cap relief for free agency.

So to summarize, I think unless we luck out and fall in the top 3, or maybe 4, our best option is to trade, and to use expiring contracts or sign and trade scenarios to do so. And the goal of that is to obtain an experienced and marquee SG. And then we use any remaining picks to get a young PF or C to back up Pryz.
Keep in mind that it'll be tough to move Darius' contract cause he has Base Year Compensation shit that makes it near impossible and colors any trade that he's involved in. ALSO, consider that he could really succeed when Pierce is hitting big shots, Zach and Pryz are hitting the boards, Bassy's tossing passes and we've got the russians backing him up. ALSO, keep in mind that we should look for a SG who has hands and passing skills. As we saw last season, the team is at it's best when the ball is moving, players are moving and shooting is a product of tough D and an energetic motion offense.

3 Comments:

Anonymous caslin said...

ick. boring

5:50 AM  
Blogger Keegan DeWitt said...

sucker punch.

5:56 AM  
Anonymous Nick said...

Bad news: I had false information. The truth is that the lotterly balls are selected tonight at 8 or 8:30 on ESPN.
Good news: We don't have to wait until this weekend to start worrying about how Blazers' management will find a way to screw things up even more.

6:04 AM  

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